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Astroyana research · doshas

How common are the doshas, really?

Kaal Sarp, Manglik and Sade Sati cause considerable worry, but their base rates are rarely stated. We computed 100,000 birth charts with our astrology engine and counted each pattern. The results put them in proportion. This synthetic study uses no real user data and measures the mathematical base rate per birth moment.

5.5%

have a full Kaal Sarp Dosha

41.9%

are Manglik after classical Bhanga cancellation

5.3%

have high-severity Manglik

24.8%

are in Sade Sati right now (as of 2026-06-03)

Full Kaal Sarp Dosha is uncommon

A full Kaal Sarp places every classical planet on one side of the Rahu–Ketu axis, making it a demanding condition. It appeared in 5.5% of charts. Another 1.2% met a partial form, while 93.3% had none. This is roughly one full case in 18 charts.

Kaal Sarp: none / partial / full
  • No Kaal Sarp93.3%
  • Partial (softened)1.2%
  • Full5.5%

Among the charts that do have it, the 12 named types — each defined by the house Rahu sits in — are split fairly evenly:

The 12 Kaal Sarp types (share of those affected)
Anant8.3%
Kulik8.6%
Vasuki8.4%
Shankhpal8.3%
Padma7.8%
Mahapadma7.9%
Takshak7.9%
Karkotak8.4%
Shankhachur8.1%
Ghatak8.8%
Vishdhar8.8%
Sheshnag8.6%

Read more on the 12 Kaal Sarp types.

Manglik: common as a label, mild in practice

Under the broad classical rule, the Manglik condition applies when Mars occupies a sensitive house counted from the Lagna, Moon or Venus. It is met in 88.2% of charts. Classical Bhanga rules cancel it about 52.5% of the time, leaving a net rate of 41.9%. Only 5.3% are high-severity.

Manglik: condition vs. cancellation vs. net
Condition met (broad rule)88.2%
Cancelled by Bhanga46.3%
Net Manglik41.9%
Net Manglik, by severity
High5.3%
Medium17.7%
Low65.1%

More on how Manglik dosha is cancelled, or check your own chart.

Sade Sati: about a quarter of people, at any time

Because Saturn occupies one sign at a time, Sade Sati (Saturn in the 12th, 1st or 2nd from the natal Moon) affects roughly three of the twelve Moon signs at once. As of 2026-06-03, 24.8% of charts were in Sade Sati — split evenly across its three phases. It is a normal, recurring season, not a rare catastrophe.

Sade Sati, by phase (share currently in it)
Ascending (rising)8.3%
Peak8.3%
Descending (setting)8.2%

A further 8.3% are in Dhaiya and 8.4% in Ashtama Shani. See how much of a whole life this adds up to in how many years is Saturn against you.

Your Moon sign and nakshatra are roughly a coin toss

As a check on the method, the Moon falls into each of the twelve signs about evenly, and into each of the 27 nakshatras between 3.6% and 3.8% — close to the 3.7% you would expect if all were equally likely. No sign is rarer or “more special” than another.

Moon sign distribution
Aries8.3%
Taurus8.3%
Gemini8.3%
Cancer8.3%
Leo8.4%
Virgo8.4%
Libra8.4%
Scorpio8.4%
Sagittarius8.3%
Capricorn8.3%
Aquarius8.2%
Pisces8.3%

Explore the 27 nakshatras.

What this means

The three patterns differ in scale: full Kaal Sarp is rare, Manglik is often mild or cancelled, and Sade Sati is a recurring cycle shared by many charts at any given time. These base rates do not dismiss the tradition. They show why an actual chart calculation should come before reacting to a label.

Methodology

Synthetic study — no real user data. Birth moments are sampled uniformly across the date range and clock; birthplaces are sampled across major Indian cities weighted by population. Percentages are the mathematical base rate per birth moment, not a population census. Reproducible from the committed script with the fixed seed.

Sample size
1,00,000 charts
Birth date range
1950-01-01 to 2009-12-31
Timezone
IST (UTC+5:30)
Birth hour
uniform
Locations
population-weighted across 25 major Indian cities
Ayanamsa
lahiri
Nodes
mean
House system
whole_sign
Transit date
2026-06-03
Engine version
0.14.0
Seed
20260603

FAQ

How common is Kaal Sarp Dosha?

In a sample of 100,000 computed charts, a full Kaal Sarp (all seven planets between the Rahu–Ketu axis) appeared in only 5.5%, with a further 1.2% softened (partial). 93.3% had no Kaal Sarp at all. A full case is therefore much rarer than common fear-based claims suggest.

How common is Manglik (Mangal) Dosha?

The broad classical rule (Mars in a sensitive house from the Lagna, Moon or Venus) is met in 88.2% of charts, but classical Bhanga cancellation clears about half. The net rate is 41.9%, and only 5.3% are high-severity.

What percentage of people are in Sade Sati right now?

As of 2026-06-03, 24.8% of charts are in Sade Sati. This is close to the expected three-of-twelve Moon signs because Saturn occupies one sign at a time.

Is this based on real people?

No. It is a synthetic study: birth moments are sampled mathematically and computed with our astrology engine. No real user data is used or stored — only aggregate percentages.

Free to cite with attribution to Astroyana. Figures are the mathematical base rate per birth moment from a synthetic sample, computed with our Swiss-Ephemeris (Lahiri) engine — not a survey of real people, and not a claim about anyone’s life.